“1/10 The U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz would cost Iran approximately $276M/day in lost exports and disrupt $159M/day in imports, a combined economic damage of ~$435M/day, or $13B/month.
Over 90% of Iran’s $109.7B in annual trade transits the Persian Gulf. Oil/gas accounts for 80% of government export earnings and 23.7% of GDP. Kharg Island alone generates ~$53B/year, or as I noted to @TIME, “$78 billion a year in energy revenue.”
—
“2/10 CRUDE OIL: Iran was exporting ~1.5M barrels/day, earning $139M/day at wartime pricing (~$87/barrel), though with minimal proceed repatriation due to banking sanctions. A blockade zeroes this out overnight. Kharg Island, which handles 92% of crude exports, sits deep inside the Gulf with no viable alternative. That’s $139M/day, gone.”
—-
“3/10 PETROCHEMICALS: Iran exported $19.7B in petrochemicals in 9 months of 2024/25, ~$54M/day. Virtually all of it ships through Assaluyeh, Imam Khomeini, and Shahid Rajaee, all inside the blockade zone. No overland route can move these volumes. Another $54M/day, gone.”
Can’t read twitter streams but this blockade raises question;
So far the US Navy has avoided the actual Straits and rightfully so — its far too dangerous. Will they be willing to intercept tankers that are still in Iranian territorial waters? If the US Navy attempts to intercept tankers along the Iranian coast they open themselves up to naval drones. These drones forced the Russian Black Sea fleet into ports far away from Ukraine. And yes Ukraine did not even have a navy. Iran should have similar capabilities.
Will the US Navy use missiles or any type of ammunition upon civilian tankers to enforce the blockade? That would be both an environmental disaster and a war crime. If they were to rely on interception and boarding parties, they run the risk of exposing themselves to Iranian drones from the coast.
The US has prevented Venezuela oil from reaching Cuba but allowed a Russian tanker through to Cuba. If India, China or Russia flagged tankers are coming and going from Iran will the US risk a wider war to enforce the blockade. Is Trump setting the US Navy up to either fail (can’t intercept Chinese vessels) or widen the war (fire upon Chinese vessels)
Without the influx of Iranian oil to India, Japan, etc oil prices will continue to rise and a global recession will occur. Is Trump willing to risk economic collapse?
Blockade sounds macho and action oriented but it’s full of risks. Of course previous regimes from Reagan onward knew the problems of an Iranian war but only Trump didn’t listen to his own experts.
The CBS poll does not suggest approval of Trump’s Iran policies. The first line — open the Straits of Hormuz — is a neutral need and a desire to return to pre war policy. By attacking Iran, US/Israel caused Iran to close the Straits. Any “war gamed” attack on Iran predicted this action yet the attack still occurred.
The second and third line is ambiguous feel good claims — almost anyone would want Iranian people to be free, but how is the question
The final line about stopping Iran’s nuclear program is like the first line asking people to approve of fixing a Trump error. In his first administration, he tore up the Obama era treaty that put a halt to Iran’s nuclear program. The negotiations in Pakistan revealed that Iran’s position has moved back and the US position is a compromise on Obama’s treaty.
Finally, the assertion that the above demonstrates the American people approve of Trump’s handling of Iran is false. When asked a simple question — do you approve of Trump’s actions in Iran, the split is 60-40 against. Here’s a Pew poll that asked a fairly simple question; its a bit dated but I doubt’ things have changed much
Found the actual CBS poll the tweet comes from. If you scroll halfway down you find a straight forward approval rating ….. its 64-36 disapproval of Iran and 61-29 disapproval overall
Before anyone accuses some of not mentioning things….what the President posted as an AI image of him as Christ. It was despicable. What has been stated before… just because some support much of what he is doing to lead and keep safe our nation that does not mean we won’t call him out when he is wrong. We pray for him…..
Thanks for sharing that full article, HRW. I was suspicious of the X post because none of those questions directly mentioned the war specifically. There have been other times when a post on X shared here has cherry-picked the results of a survey or misinterpreted one (willfully, in at least one case I can remember).
“I am being told there will be more disgusting stuff coming out on Swallwell in the next 24 hours. For the members of Congress who are concerned about optics on expelling Swalwell, I think after the information drops you will be thinking otherwise.
Eric, why dont you tell us a little about who was filming the video of the female sex worker.”
The sexual sins of the political class is beginning to resemble the sawdust, branch and log in people’s eyes. Although I’m no longer sure who has the log and who has the saw dust. In any case, to clean house, they should start with the top and the Epstein files
The AI image of Trump was over the top but his tweet about the pope struck me as worse….. some body needs to be the adult in the room
So what’s so awful about this? The “Pope” needs to keep his oar out and stick to his left leaning ideology. Perhaps the Vatican should open their gates for illegal invaders he says WE should provide for! Talk about someone wanting to be a king!!! And the reporter’s wording of “attacked” is misleading and manipulative… par for the course
President Donald Trump attacked Pope Leo XIV over the weekend for speaking out against the war in Iran, saying he is “weak on crime and terrible for foreign policy.” “Leo should get his act together as Pope, use Common Sense, stop catering to the Radical Left, and focus on being a Great Pope, not a Politician,” Trump wrote in a social media post. Leo, who has urged an end to the U.S-Israeli war with Iran, responded Monday aboard the papal plane heading for an 11-day trip in Africa, saying he won’t back down from speaking out against the war. “I have no fear, neither of the Trump administration, nor of speaking out loudly about the message of the Gospel,” he said. PBS News’ Liz Landers has more.
Wandering Views 
Here’s your required reading for today.
It’s long, but thoroughly explains what is about to happen to Iran now that talks broke down.
It’s a 10 tweet thread that explains how Iran is about to be crushed
https://x.com/i/status/2043456536454836467
“1/10 The U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz would cost Iran approximately $276M/day in lost exports and disrupt $159M/day in imports, a combined economic damage of ~$435M/day, or $13B/month.
Over 90% of Iran’s $109.7B in annual trade transits the Persian Gulf. Oil/gas accounts for 80% of government export earnings and 23.7% of GDP. Kharg Island alone generates ~$53B/year, or as I noted to @TIME, “$78 billion a year in energy revenue.”
—
“2/10 CRUDE OIL: Iran was exporting ~1.5M barrels/day, earning $139M/day at wartime pricing (~$87/barrel), though with minimal proceed repatriation due to banking sanctions. A blockade zeroes this out overnight. Kharg Island, which handles 92% of crude exports, sits deep inside the Gulf with no viable alternative. That’s $139M/day, gone.”
—-
“3/10 PETROCHEMICALS: Iran exported $19.7B in petrochemicals in 9 months of 2024/25, ~$54M/day. Virtually all of it ships through Assaluyeh, Imam Khomeini, and Shahid Rajaee, all inside the blockade zone. No overland route can move these volumes. Another $54M/day, gone.”
—-
Click and read on….
LikeLiked by 1 person
Told ya.
https://x.com/i/status/2043514770502897898
“Breraking: Impeachment Bombshell: Secret memos expose Ukraine accuser’s bias, hearsay, and false claim”
—-
https://justthenews.com/accountability/whistleblowers/ukraine-bombshell-long-secret-memos-expose-whistleblower-bias-hearsay?utm_source=mux&utm_medium=social-media&utm_campaign=social-media-autopost
LikeLiked by 1 person
“New CBS poll shows Americans OVERWHELMINGLY back Trump’s actions in Iran.
Sorry, Panicans.”
https://x.com/i/status/2043349383459078267
LikeLiked by 1 person
Aged like milk left in the sun.
Resign.
https://x.com/i/status/2043653416598024380
“To my Republican colleagues: sexual assault victims deserve justice. Do the right thing. Go sign that petition.”
LikeLiked by 1 person
Can’t read twitter streams but this blockade raises question;
So far the US Navy has avoided the actual Straits and rightfully so — its far too dangerous. Will they be willing to intercept tankers that are still in Iranian territorial waters? If the US Navy attempts to intercept tankers along the Iranian coast they open themselves up to naval drones. These drones forced the Russian Black Sea fleet into ports far away from Ukraine. And yes Ukraine did not even have a navy. Iran should have similar capabilities.
Will the US Navy use missiles or any type of ammunition upon civilian tankers to enforce the blockade? That would be both an environmental disaster and a war crime. If they were to rely on interception and boarding parties, they run the risk of exposing themselves to Iranian drones from the coast.
The US has prevented Venezuela oil from reaching Cuba but allowed a Russian tanker through to Cuba. If India, China or Russia flagged tankers are coming and going from Iran will the US risk a wider war to enforce the blockade. Is Trump setting the US Navy up to either fail (can’t intercept Chinese vessels) or widen the war (fire upon Chinese vessels)
Without the influx of Iranian oil to India, Japan, etc oil prices will continue to rise and a global recession will occur. Is Trump willing to risk economic collapse?
Blockade sounds macho and action oriented but it’s full of risks. Of course previous regimes from Reagan onward knew the problems of an Iranian war but only Trump didn’t listen to his own experts.
hrw
LikeLike
The CBS poll does not suggest approval of Trump’s Iran policies. The first line — open the Straits of Hormuz — is a neutral need and a desire to return to pre war policy. By attacking Iran, US/Israel caused Iran to close the Straits. Any “war gamed” attack on Iran predicted this action yet the attack still occurred.
The second and third line is ambiguous feel good claims — almost anyone would want Iranian people to be free, but how is the question
The final line about stopping Iran’s nuclear program is like the first line asking people to approve of fixing a Trump error. In his first administration, he tore up the Obama era treaty that put a halt to Iran’s nuclear program. The negotiations in Pakistan revealed that Iran’s position has moved back and the US position is a compromise on Obama’s treaty.
Finally, the assertion that the above demonstrates the American people approve of Trump’s handling of Iran is false. When asked a simple question — do you approve of Trump’s actions in Iran, the split is 60-40 against. Here’s a Pew poll that asked a fairly simple question; its a bit dated but I doubt’ things have changed much
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2026/03/25/americans-broadly-disapprove-of-u-s-military-action-in-iran/
hrw
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Found the actual CBS poll the tweet comes from. If you scroll halfway down you find a straight forward approval rating ….. its 64-36 disapproval of Iran and 61-29 disapproval overall
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/iran-war-opinion-poll-2026-04-12/
hrw
LikeLiked by 1 person
Before anyone accuses some of not mentioning things….what the President posted as an AI image of him as Christ. It was despicable. What has been stated before… just because some support much of what he is doing to lead and keep safe our nation that does not mean we won’t call him out when he is wrong. We pray for him…..
LikeLiked by 1 person
Thanks for sharing that full article, HRW. I was suspicious of the X post because none of those questions directly mentioned the war specifically. There have been other times when a post on X shared here has cherry-picked the results of a survey or misinterpreted one (willfully, in at least one case I can remember).
LikeLike
“I am being told there will be more disgusting stuff coming out on Swallwell in the next 24 hours. For the members of Congress who are concerned about optics on expelling Swalwell, I think after the information drops you will be thinking otherwise.
Eric, why dont you tell us a little about who was filming the video of the female sex worker.”
https://x.com/i/status/2043777233454805239
Load ’em up and move ’em out…
https://x.com/i/status/2043756479157572036
“CONGRESS CLEANING HOUSE: Rep. Andy Ogles Predicts 4 Members of Congress Likely to Be Expelled THIS WEEK
1. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-FL): indicted for funneling millions in federal disaster funds into her campaign
2. Eric Swalwell (D-CA): multiple sexual assault and misconduct allegations
3. Cory Mills (R-FL): allegations including sexual misconduct, domestic violence, campaign finance violations
4. Tony Gonzales (R-TX): sexual misconduct allegations, including an affair with a former staffer who later died by suicide.”
I think Swalwell is almost CERTAIN to happen. Whether or not the rest happen, we’ll see.” “
LikeLike
The sexual sins of the political class is beginning to resemble the sawdust, branch and log in people’s eyes. Although I’m no longer sure who has the log and who has the saw dust. In any case, to clean house, they should start with the top and the Epstein files
The AI image of Trump was over the top but his tweet about the pope struck me as worse….. some body needs to be the adult in the room
hrw
LikeLike
So what’s so awful about this? The “Pope” needs to keep his oar out and stick to his left leaning ideology. Perhaps the Vatican should open their gates for illegal invaders he says WE should provide for! Talk about someone wanting to be a king!!! And the reporter’s wording of “attacked” is misleading and manipulative… par for the course
President Donald Trump attacked Pope Leo XIV over the weekend for speaking out against the war in Iran, saying he is “weak on crime and terrible for foreign policy.” “Leo should get his act together as Pope, use Common Sense, stop catering to the Radical Left, and focus on being a Great Pope, not a Politician,” Trump wrote in a social media post. Leo, who has urged an end to the U.S-Israeli war with Iran, responded Monday aboard the papal plane heading for an 11-day trip in Africa, saying he won’t back down from speaking out against the war. “I have no fear, neither of the Trump administration, nor of speaking out loudly about the message of the Gospel,” he said. PBS News’ Liz Landers has more.
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