21 thoughts on “News/Politics 10-30-24

  1. Siri, why do people call the NYTimes trash?

    https://x.com/shellenberger/status/1851584816421933447?t=4b_gTPdXSRDl0InEvz4ShQ&s=19

    “The New York Times says Biden only “appeared” to call Trump voters “garbage.” That’s disinformation. What Biden said is clear from the video. And now the White House has altered the official transcript in a potential violation of the Presidential Records Act”

    ——

    See the video above. They’re lying. Again.

    Liked by 4 people

  2. “All the major elements of the FBI & CIA conspiracy to interfere in the 2020 election on behalf of Joe Biden are now confirmed:

    — FBI had the Hunter Biden laptop in Dec. 2019 & knew it “was real” immediately

    — FBI, spying on Giuliani, knew he would give the laptop to media

    — FBI ran a disinformation campaign in the summer of 2020 to “prebunk” the story with journalists & social media companies, both directly and through Aspen Institute, by falsely claiming Russians were planning disinfo relating to Hunter Biden

    — “Former” FBI General Counsel turned Twitter Dep. Counsel, Jim Baker, convinced colleagues to censor the NY Post story after they had determined that it had *not* violated Twitter’s Terms of Service

    — CIA Director Gina Haspel approved, within a few hours, a disinformation campaign by 51 “former” CIA and other Intelligence Community leaders who falsely claimed the laptop was Russian disinformation

    The result was that millions of voters thought the laptop was fake and never learned that Joe Biden oversaw a vast influence-peddling scheme involving China, Ukraine, and other nations, with his son and brother, until after the election.

    These are high crimes for which people should go to prison.”

    https://x.com/shellenberger/status/1851272985900167456?t=y-L6UV84Fe4HgbacAecECQ&s=19

    Once again, there’s never any accountability for the lies and conspiracy to influence an election with them.

    Liked by 3 people

  3. More election interference from Democrats.

    https://x.com/charliekirk11/status/1851314502920520044?t=hdeKVZAFwALY6KiWp9cg-Q&s=19

    “Pennsylvania Democrats are paying operatives to go around wearing large “VOTER PROTECTION” lanyards, giving the impression they are government election officials, which they are not.

    This is illegal; the GOP was placed under a ridiculously punitive 35-year consent decree for things exactly like this.

    But there is good news here: Democrats now realize that they’re the ones who have to fear high voter turnout.

    Don’t be intimidated! Vote!!!”

    —–

    “Just in case anyone was wondering, the “Voter Protection” official telling everyone they can’t vote is….

    Surprise surprise, DEMOCRAT OFFICIAL PAM JANVEY!”

    https://x.com/teameffujoe/status/1851447817220603981?t=RFaaVnpfyhmvK_dx4v1q8A&s=19

    Liked by 2 people

  4. Another gross abuse of power by the DOJ, and establishment Rs continue to stare at their feet.

    #USELESSGOP

    These are political prisoners.

    https://x.com/julie_kelly2/status/1851290405867786465?t=ciAFUJcA6Orh3xL2BT9pFA&s=19

    “Last week, I told you about Sandra Weyer, the 61-year-old PA woman who was inside the Capitol for 11 minutes on Jan 6 and convicted by Judge Boasberg (Obama) of 1512c2 felony and 4 misdemeanors.

    After SCOTUS granted cert in Fischer–the 1512c2 case–and given her suffering in Philly’s federal prison, Boasberg released Weyer after 3 1/2 months saying that was the average prison time for her other low level convictions.

    Her 1512c2 conviction was vacated–so now DOJ wants to resentence Weyer on the remaining 4 misdemeanors.

    Asst. US Atty Victoria Sheets, working out of Matthew Graves office, at first told Weyer’s attorney that DOJ would not seek additional incarceration. She then followed up indicating DOJ WOULD seek more time in prison.

    Weyer has no criminal record and committed no violence on Jan 6 but this ruthless DOJ still wants her to pay for believing the 2020 election was stolen.

    Her husband just died after a brief battle with liver cancer. He was diagnosed shortly after she was released.

    But because Sheets misrepresented at first that DOJ would not seek prison time, DOJ admitted its mistake but still wants NINE MONTHS HOME INCARCERATION.

    Can you imagine the torment of not being able to leave the house after your husband of 40 years just died?

    Her sentencing hearing is tomorrow morning. I will be there.”

    Liked by 4 people

  5. No matter how much you despise them, it’s not enough.

    https://x.com/WesternLensman/status/1851601610725572636?t=dj9wJzBXJUWj0hcG6DpJaw&s=19

    “MSDNC janitors Scarborough and Lemire try in vain to mop up Biden’s “garbage” mess — blame REPUBLICANS SEIZING:

    “Some on the right have seized on that comment…. trying to paint this to be the next ‘basket of deplorables.’

    “This is two straight minutes of why the propaganda press has zero public trust and zero credibility — they will lie, obfuscate and distort even when the comments ARE ON VIDEO.

    Lemire is the same Politico hack who attempted to immediately sanitize the transcript last night to lie about what Biden said, and he’s still mopping up this morning.”

    Liked by 3 people

  6. Well I’m shocked… 🙄

    https://x.com/Heminator/status/1851595971408371944?t=z_GyB77eHN1wtAE4yZMEHA&s=19

    “Ever wonder why @kamalahq routinely spreads disinfo and doesn’t get Community noted? ‘Block Community Notes We Don’t Like’: Harris Campaign Caught Red-Handed Manipulating X To CensorCriticism”

    thefederalist.com/2024/10/30/blo…

    —-

    https://thefederalist.com/2024/10/30/block-community-notes-we-dont-like-harris-campaign-caught-red-handed-manipulating-x-to-censor-criticism/

    Liked by 4 people

  7. Some ballots here in CO will not scan. Some ballots have been stolen and turned in by…hmmm???

    The Secretary of State posted passwords online…but it was a quick mistake and they don’t believe anyone saw them…well someone did!! But never fear…the Democrats are here to save the day!!

    Liked by 2 people

  8. “The office of Democratic Colorado Secretary of State Jena Griswold “accidentally” posted passwords for Colorado voting systems online. These passwords were available for months and are tied to active voting systems.

    But Democrats say voter fraud is impossible and we have the most secure elections…”

    https://x.com/libsoftiktok/status/1851646107882811696?t=Y3__j8u4BjculSzR2RFOXQ&s=19

    —-

    https://x.com/libsoftiktok/status/1851648449445281975?t=4WEq0FDuWJ04wvfzjyh1Kg&s=19

    “BTW the lady who leaked passwords for voting systems in Colorado is the same person who tried to remove Trump from the ballot.

    This is who’s running Colorado elections.”

    Liked by 3 people

  9. Here in battleground PA, more fraud.

    https://x.com/MJTruthUltra/status/1851408978544132410?t=7Ao64LFqv6vzt6RoGhxxeQ&s=19

    “2024 Election

    Man Spotted Dropping off an Obscene amount of Ballots at Northampton, PA last minute

    The man reportedly has Rhode Island license plate… why Rhode Island Plates in PA? 🤔

    Might be a logical explanation.. but see something, say something. It should at least be followed up on by local officials.”

    Liked by 4 people

  10. Found this good explanation of how polling is done these days (since calling voters on landlines is long gone):

    ~ How exactly does a poll work? Up until the 1990s, simply dialing random phone numbers tended to produce representative samples of the electorate in a given area, David Winston, a strategist and pollster who is president of the Winston Group, told TMD. Dial the phones for several days until you’ve reached a certain number of people, and you have your sample of the overall electorate. The larger the sample size, the more accurate the poll generally is, due to the basic statistical fact that larger samples tend to have less variation. 

    But Americans have become much less likely to own a landline phone, and, indeed, less likely to pick up the phone at all. As it became much more difficult to reach people, pollsters have generally gone in one of two different directions: either using large lists of voters whom they call, or moving to reaching their survey targets through SMS texting. 

    With less representative samples, how can pollsters confidently present their findings as an accurate picture of American opinion? A practice called “weighting.” After they’ve collected their responses, pollsters will assign a different “score” to each response based on demographic characteristics. 

    For example, a given poll may sample 1,000 people, 40 percent of whom were women. But if the population of the poll’s geographic area is 50 percent female, respondents who are women will be given a greater weight in the final calculation than men. 

    Some populations have become the subject of extensive weighting discussion, particularly the so-called “shy Trump voter.” The phrase emerged as an explanation for the polling miss in 2016 …

    But this name is something of a misnomer. “I prefer to call them distrustful Trump voters,” Glen Bolger, a leading Republican pollster and co-founder of Public Opinion Strategies, told TMD. Certain groups of Republican voters, especially those who support Donald Trump, are more likely to decline to answer phone calls from pollsters, according to analyses of the 2020 election cycle. 

    Each pollster navigates the “weighting” waters differently, assigning different values to a different set of factors—like gender, location, race, age, and partisan identification. “Everybody has their own statistical program,” said Winston. Many pollsters have responded to the polling miss of 2020 by weighing a respondent’s previous vote in an effort to adjust for the fact that Republican voters are less likely to answer the phone. 

    Whit Ayres, the president of North Star Research, told TMD that any adjustments, whether based on class, party, or previous vote, that try to account for these voters are necessarily unproven. “There’s no question that a nonresponse bias … the fact is that you can’t adjust for people who refuse to participate and talk to you.”

    Ayres also cautioned against weighing a respondent’s previous vote. “Who knows if the dynamics of a Biden-Trump race will be the same as the dynamics of a Harris-Trump race,” he told TMD. Pollsters risk “simply weighting results back to the Biden-Trump race when Biden isn’t even in the contest.”

    Much of the effectiveness of pollsters, then, could come down to their skills at statistical modeling. And comparing the myriad, usually proprietary, algorithms of pollsters is likely a fruitless task for the average American. 

    Some other pollsters are more likely to mistrust weighting—even if it helps to solve some modern issues—in favor of trying to increase the size of their samples. “We still rely on cell phone interviewing, but we now set more quotas to make sure we get more voters who do not have a four-year college degree,” Bolger told TMD. His firm has also extended the length of time his polls are in the field from three nights to four and has “all but cut out” landlines. But these logistical changes make polls more difficult and costly, meaning that many pollsters still favor elaborate statistical adjustment. 

    Even with post-2016 and -2020 course corrections, there is no guarantee that polls will be any more accurate this election. “You’re watching a discipline learn how to do this, and as they’re in the process of learning, is there a chance that they’ll be off?” asked Winston. “Sure, because they’re learning.” 

    Bolger was even blunter: “Everyone’s smarter after Election Day.”

    It’s also far from certain that polls will undercount Trump’s support again. After all, Democrats overperformed expectations in the 2018 and 2022 elections, albeit with Trump off the ballot. … And with swing state polls as close as they are, a miss of 2 points in either direction—well within the historical margin of error—could translate to an Electoral College landslide.

    Perhaps, then, Bolger’s advice is best: “What your average reader thinks about the polls doesn’t impact the polls,” he said. “Go vote,” he advised, then “go take a walk.” ~

    ____________________

    Or go surfing or kayaking or skiing – or fill in the blank.

    And breathe. 🙂

    • dj

    Liked by 1 person

  11. Unity??! There has never been a worse administration leading division in this country…and I believe they are just piggy backing on Obamas lead….we are deplorable AND garbage now…

    NEW: Kamala Harris appears to defend Biden after he called tens of millions of voters “garbage,” doesn’t have a problem with it because he “clarified his comments.” “Listen, I think that first of all, he clarified his comments.” “I strongly disagree with any criticism of people based on who they vote for. You heard my speech last night.”

    Liked by 3 people

  12. Not to worry this blue state has everything under control. Police verified it was the Venezuelan gang after responding to gunfire reported in this house! These are animals not humans. And they live here on the backs of taxpayers… thanks Kamala!

    Cigarette butts, gum, cans, empty bottles and bags of drugs littered an Airbnb property hidden away in the Colorado mountains after one guest’s brief stay turned into a longstanding problem brought on by suspected gang related chaos leaving host Karen Martiz thousands of dollars in repairs while the property remains damaged and temporarily useless.  

    “I have put all my energy and love into this property to make it beautiful for my guests. It’s a beautiful place. Everybody loved it. We have been hosting for two years and this was the first time that I showed up here and my house was completely destroyed. I couldn’t believe it,” Martiz told Fox News early Wednesday.

    The property located in Evergreen, west of Denver, is marked as a “no-smoking” property, but that didn’t stop the guest who checked in to stay over the weekend – and the people they brought along for a massive party. 

    Its living space was emptied, walls dirtied, carpets stained and marred by gum. Gum was even stuck on the walls and ceilings, Martin told FOX 31 an affiliate based in Denver.

    Liked by 3 people

  13. More BS from Dominion machines.

    https://x.com/nicksortor/status/1851665473240187322?t=sbI05KoMB-EUsFwgrF2gVQ&s=19

    “Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson says there is a “NATIONWIDE ISSUE with Dominion Voter Access Terminals,” preventing voters from making certain selections.

    Of course there is 🙄

    According to her office, this “programming issue” CANNOT be fixed, and voters are being forced to deal with it.

    Why was this “issue” not caught during the testing period?

    And why can’t we just use paper ballots?!”

    ——

    And let me guess….

    The problem only happens to one sides voters, and you know which side it will be…

    Liked by 1 person

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