Too bad she doesn’t get this riled up about the murders of millions of black children. She supports that. All this rage while claiming Congress is racist.
Cori Bush just went on what is probably the most unhinged rant I've ever seen in Congress on the censure resolution of Rashida Tlaib.
The censure vote was successful, thanks to some Jewish Democrats understanding what Tlaib is, anti-Semite, and what she stands for, their destruction. Once again some R’s are useless. There were four Republicans who voted with the majority of Democrats, including Reps. Ken Buck (CO), John Duarte (CA), Thomas Massie (KY), and Tom McClintock (CA).
🚨BREAKING: The House of Reps has voted to censure Rep. Rashida Tlaib for her anti-Semitism.
“From the moment Donald Trump first announced his candidacy for president in June 2015, he has dominated the Republican Party, turning it from an establishment zombie party into an energized populist, grassroots force. After a hugely successful four years in the White House driven by a transformative America First policy agenda, Trump continues to stand astride the GOP like a Colossus. No one else even comes close, which is why the Republican primary field has been frozen for months.
Trump has enjoyed a commanding lead over all GOP presidential aspirants since early spring. He’s currently ahead by a whopping 60 percent nationally. The last time a candidate had a lead this big was George W. Bush in 2000, who won all but seven states during the primary that year.
Trump is also way ahead in the key early states. Recent polling has Trump leading his closest competitor, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, by over 30 percent in Iowa and ahead by 30 points in New Hampshire. Polling in other states, including DeSantis’s home state, show similar Trump dominance. Meanwhile, the betting odds put Trump at a 71.2 percent chance to win while DeSantis trails with an 8.4 percent chance.
Most significantly, Trump is the only Republican candidate who is consistently tied with or beating President Biden nationally and in most of the key swing states. GOP voters now realize that in order to win back the White House, Trump’s the one.
It wasn’t always this way.
In January, DeSantis was the favorite in betting markets to win the primary. He was at 50.8 percent, while Trump trailed with a 28.4 percent chance of winning. Likewise, polling showed a tighter race earlier this year. For example, in January a University of New Hampshire poll found DeSantis leading Trump by 12 percent. Nine months later, UNH’s poll had the former president up by 26 percent. That’s an astonishing 38 point swing toward Trump.”
“With views of things in America continuing to be bad and now hitting their most negative marks of the year, one might expect an incumbent president to trail in a pre-election poll — as Joe Biden does in this one. But that’s only half the story. The other half is that Donald Trump holds distinct advantages in his own right when voters look forward: More voters think they’d be better off financially if Trump wins in 2024, and more voters think it’s Trump who can keep the U.S. out of a war, if he wins.
Mr. Biden’s Democratic base looks a little more shaky than Trump’s going into next year, too, which isn’t helping him. On those financial measures, Mr. Biden hasn’t fully made the case to his fellow Democrats that he’ll help them financially, or address inequality — certainly not in the way Trump has convinced Republicans.
Looking overseas, Democrats aren’t as sure about Mr. Biden avoiding an overseas war as Republicans are about Trump doing so. And then more directly, Democrats are just less apt to say they’ll vote. Granted, it’s far off, but it does speak to the challenges Mr. Biden has in front of him one year out from Election Day.
Those partisans may be reading the polls, too: Mr. Biden’s backers react to the idea of a rematch by mainly saying they’re nervous and frustrated; Trump’s say they’re hopeful and motivated.
Plus, as ever in American politics, views on race continue to play a role.
Let’s unpack these more — first, the financial factor:
Americans have long described financial setbacks because of inflation and interest rates. Those who feel they’re worse off financially are backing Trump. And this isn’t just punitive toward Mr. Biden — those voters overwhelmingly think they will be financially better off if Trump wins.
And voters continue to believe the wealthy are favored over the middle and working class in America today, and Mr. Biden has not persuaded them this would change during a second term, nor does he have any meaningful advantage over Trump in being seen as helping the middle and working class.”
“Just when conservatives seem bereft of heroes, Senator Tommy Tuberville of Alabama comes along. He’s doing something that Washington just hates, taking a principled stand in support of a principled position that’s more than just a mere pose. He’s actually imposing a cost on liberal posturing, and it’s driving not only the Democrats but some establishment Republicans up the wall. We should back his play and help the Coach bring it in for the big win.
Basically, Senator Tuberville simply refuses to play ball. What happened is that Biden’s puppet masters – Biden makes no decisions himself beyond choosing between watching “Matlock” and “Murder, She Wrote” reruns – told its bemedaled lackeys at the Pentagon to start subsidizing abortion tourism. It’s an unlawful expenditure, but it’s really, really important to the administration that every part of the government be all in on killing babies, including the part of the government that should be all in on killing our enemies but is now mostly concerned with talking about white rage, forcing people to take vaccines they don’t need, and facilitating drag queen story hours. Senator Tuberville asked the Pentagon to stop doing this illegal thing. The Pentagon refused. So Senator Tuberville refused to agree to unanimous consent to pass, en masse, senior military promotions.
Understand what Senator Tuberville did and didn’t do because – shocker – the regime media is lying to you. He didn’t stop military promotions. Certain senior military leaders have to be confirmed by the Senate. Chuck Schumer is free to consider each and every military promotion on its own merits before the entire Senate and force the Senate to vote on it on the record. The problem for the Senate is that this takes time, although it’s unclear what else the Senate has been doing lately that is more important. The Senate works on unanimous consent. Most things just sort of happen because no senator objects, and very few things happen on the record. What Senator Tuberville is doing is gumming up the works. He’s making Chuck Schumer actually put these names in front of the body and take a vote. They have done so for several promotions. But this takes a lot of time. Usually, what happens is the Pentagon presents a promotion list, and the Senate approves it, and everybody gets a star or an eagle. I was on the colonel’s list, with my name buried among 1500 or so aspiring full birds, which was lucky for me because if somebody had googled my name, I’m sure some communist senator would have objected.
But that’s kind of the point. Our elected representatives should be able to object to a senior military promotion. Otherwise, why bother having them confirmed by the Senate at all? The norm of mass promotions is a matter of convenience and courtesy, but the Pentagon isn’t being convenient or courteous. It’s violating the law. The Senate said not to do this kind of abortion spending, and the military saluted with its left hand and middle finger. Senator Tuberville, who seems to understand the chain of command better than the guys who live in the chain of command, refuses to tolerate this kind of insubordination, and why should he?
His stand is making the Democrats freak out, and it’s also making a bunch of Republicans freak out. Last week, Mitch McConnell had a couple of senators go on the floor, including military vets like the usually sensible Dan Sullivan and Joni Ernst, screaming at Senator Tuberville because he refuses to cooperate. But Senator Tuberville ignored this bipartisan baloney. He’s not folding, and there’s nothing establishment Republicans hate more than a Republican who shames them for refusing to play his assigned part in the DC kabuki theater of GOP-managed failure.
As this standoff has gone on over the last few months, something else has been clear. Many of the guys they’re putting up as generals and admirals are DEI-loving weirdos. For example, there is one Air Force guy who says that the big problem with our military is white colonels. Well, I was a white colonel, and I kind of find it insulting that my 27 years of service has been reduced to the skin tone I bear that resulted from having ancestors immigrating from Germany and Scotland centuries ago. Sure, I was no war hero like Senator Da Nang Dick Blumenthal, whose name the descendants of the Vietcong use to scare their children, but I kind of think an officer who believes this kind of nonsense should find another line of work. He would probably be more comfortable working at, say, a prestigious university’s DEI department explaining why Jewish students should apologize for existing.
Now, there are good, solid Republicans who mean well and are very upset about it. These are people who love our military and love our troops, and they believe the claim that Senator Tuberville is hurting military readiness. But he is not. He is helping it. As my pal Jesse Kelly, a Marine, correctly observed, holding up these promotions is a terrible idea. We should cashier most of these generals and colonels entirely. It is important to remember that we have not unequivocally won a major war in 30 years. My Republican friends who are concerned about Senator Tuberville’s stubbornness interfering with the bureaucracy’s ability to churn out ever more of these half-steppers make the same mistake Donald Trump made – being impressed by our current senior military leadership. Sadly, our current senior military leadership is largely unimpressive, unaccomplished, and totally unsatisfactory. Patriotism and support for our troops require that we acknowledge this fact and act accordingly.
What is required now is not less scrutiny and supervision of military promotions. It is exponentially more of both. Our current military is a disaster. It is run by incompetents who suck up to our civilian authorities not in the proper way – that is, by following the strategy of elected civilian leaders – but by accepting the tropes and tenets of Democratic culture war obsessions. Nothing has done more damage to our military than buying into wokeness. The military leadership won’t admit it because it is either stupid or lying to you. Still, the simple fact is that the normal Americans who traditionally make up our fighting forces are largely refusing to serve any longer because they understand that the military, as an organization and culture, absolutely hates them. Colonel Hate Whitey is not an anomaly. He is a role model.
The effect on recruiting has been just what you would expect. Vets, who typically inspire the majority of recruits, are disgusted and tell young people to pass on a hitch. Why would you give your life to an organization that holds you in contempt because of where your ancestors came from? Moreover, why would you place your lives in the hands of people who have exhibited the kind of gross incompetence that got 13 Americans slaughtered in Afghanistan in that disgraceful rout? I had the honor of briefly serving as a lawyer for the family of one of the Marines killed, and it’s hard to express the betrayal they justifiably feel. No one has been fired for that fiasco. Moreover, I stood there while a representative of the military either, at worst, outright lied to the families or, at best, gave them information that subsequent public disclosures have contradicted. Disgraceful.
What my Republican friends concerned about the promotions slow-walk need to understand is that it is not affecting military readiness. A brigadier general will do just fine holding a major general’s slot. That extra star just means a few extra bucks. If it’s so dangerous, the Pentagon can resolve it in a second – just stop funding abortion tourism. But it won’t, meaning either that the people behind it are abortion fanatics (plausible), or that this is not really a military readiness issue, no matter how often the Pentagon falsely claims it is. And it is not. What it is is a discipline issue. The Pentagon cannot go on violating the law in the face of the American people’s representatives and be treated as if it is doing nothing wrong.”
Very interesting, to me, article on the bbc, about Israeli intelligence calling individuals to give them a heads up to evacuate specific buildings prior to bombing. Amazing technology. And compassion.
Neither looks good in the latest polls. Both parties should consider alternatives. — Karl Rove, WSJ opinion
** Neither party’s front-runner will be easily dislodged. But if no changes are made, Americans will get the worst dumpster fire of a campaign in history. It doesn’t have to be this way, and everyone but Messrs. Trump and Biden has good reason to try changing it. The party that picks a fresh face will likely win the White House. **
*****************************
~ As Democrats savor their victories in Tuesday’s Ohio abortion referendum, Kentucky governor’s race and Virginia and New Jersey legislative contests, they might be tempted to ignore the implications of a Nov. 3 New York Times/Siena College poll that shows Donald Trump beating Joe Biden in five of six 2024 battleground states. Mr. Trump lost all six in 2020.
Mr. Trump leads Mr. Biden by 5 points in Arizona, 6 in Georgia, 5 in Michigan, 10 in Nevada and 4 in Pennsylvania. Mr. Biden beats Mr. Trump only in Wisconsin, by 2 points. Among the combined six-state sample of 3,662 registered voters, Mr. Trump leads by four points, 48% to 44%. If the 2024 election plays out this way—adjusting for reapportionment but otherwise assuming other states stay the same—Mr. Trump would flip the White House, winning 302 electoral votes to Mr. Biden’s 236. Last time it was 232 Trump, 306 Biden.
The poll shows a real risk for Mr. Biden from three blocs critical to his 2020 victory and his hopes for a 2024 repeat—young, Latino and black voters. His drop among these groups is driven by poor approval numbers on key issues—especially the economy—and a widespread feeling that he’s too old (71% of respondents agreed) and doesn’t have the “mental sharpness” to be president (62%).
…
There was more dangerous news in the Times/Siena poll for both parties’ front-runners. Though not as well-known as Mr. Biden or Mr. Trump, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley beats Mr. Biden in all six battlegrounds now. In four states, her margins are wider than Mr. Trump’s: She leads Mr. Biden by 7 points in Arizona, 3 in Georgia, 10 in Michigan and Pennsylvania, 6 in Nevada, and 13 in Wisconsin. Among the combined six states, Ms. Haley leads by 8 points (46% to 38%), twice Mr. Trump’s margin.
Mr. Biden may think he can caricature Ms. Haley as “ultra-MAGA,” but the Times/Siena survey shows voters know the difference between the GOP and Mr. Trump. A generic Republican beats Mr. Biden by even bigger margins in every battleground state, leading the Democrat by 14 to 18 points in each one. When all six are combined, the generic GOP candidate’s lead over Mr. Biden is 16 points (52% to 36%), four times Mr. Trump’s.
This suggests Republicans could score a historic victory next year if they run a new face. Apparently voters like what they see as the GOP’s values on the economy, defense, immigration, crime and the national debt. Democratic messaging mavens can try casting a fresh Republican as a Jan. 6 insurrectionist, an election-denying fabulist, a demagogic white supremacist. But voters wouldn’t be responding so positively in polls if they thought “Republican” was synonymous with all that nonsense.
Democrats are right to be scared, but Republicans should be concerned, too. … (T)he GOP leader could sink his own campaign with his constant trashing of his intra-party rivals and their supporters. Turned off, they could fail to turn out or even turn away from the GOP. … ~
___________________
Is there a debate tonight?😀
I am listening to Fish Out of Water by Eric Metaxas and it’s fascinating to hear about how he got into politics at a young age and worked a summer for the mayor of Danbury, Connecticut and encountered so many Democrats back then. I never would have guessed he had that background. He wanted Jesse Jackson for Pres.😳
Wandering Views 
Wow.
Too bad she doesn’t get this riled up about the murders of millions of black children. She supports that. All this rage while claiming Congress is racist.
The censure vote was successful, thanks to some Jewish Democrats understanding what Tlaib is, anti-Semite, and what she stands for, their destruction. Once again some R’s are useless. There were four Republicans who voted with the majority of Democrats, including Reps. Ken Buck (CO), John Duarte (CA), Thomas Massie (KY), and Tom McClintock (CA).
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Time to acknowledge it.
“The Republican Primary Is Over. It’s Trump. And It’s Time to Unite Behind Him ”
https://www.newsweek.com/republican-primary-over-its-trump-its-time-unite-behind-him-opinion-1841180
“From the moment Donald Trump first announced his candidacy for president in June 2015, he has dominated the Republican Party, turning it from an establishment zombie party into an energized populist, grassroots force. After a hugely successful four years in the White House driven by a transformative America First policy agenda, Trump continues to stand astride the GOP like a Colossus. No one else even comes close, which is why the Republican primary field has been frozen for months.
Trump has enjoyed a commanding lead over all GOP presidential aspirants since early spring. He’s currently ahead by a whopping 60 percent nationally. The last time a candidate had a lead this big was George W. Bush in 2000, who won all but seven states during the primary that year.
Trump is also way ahead in the key early states. Recent polling has Trump leading his closest competitor, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, by over 30 percent in Iowa and ahead by 30 points in New Hampshire. Polling in other states, including DeSantis’s home state, show similar Trump dominance. Meanwhile, the betting odds put Trump at a 71.2 percent chance to win while DeSantis trails with an 8.4 percent chance.
Most significantly, Trump is the only Republican candidate who is consistently tied with or beating President Biden nationally and in most of the key swing states. GOP voters now realize that in order to win back the White House, Trump’s the one.
It wasn’t always this way.
In January, DeSantis was the favorite in betting markets to win the primary. He was at 50.8 percent, while Trump trailed with a 28.4 percent chance of winning. Likewise, polling showed a tighter race earlier this year. For example, in January a University of New Hampshire poll found DeSantis leading Trump by 12 percent. Nine months later, UNH’s poll had the former president up by 26 percent. That’s an astonishing 38 point swing toward Trump.”
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Even Ds and Is see the truth in this.
“If Trump wins, more voters foresee better finances, staying out of war — CBS News poll”
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-vs-biden-poll-2024-presidential-election-year-out/
“With views of things in America continuing to be bad and now hitting their most negative marks of the year, one might expect an incumbent president to trail in a pre-election poll — as Joe Biden does in this one. But that’s only half the story. The other half is that Donald Trump holds distinct advantages in his own right when voters look forward: More voters think they’d be better off financially if Trump wins in 2024, and more voters think it’s Trump who can keep the U.S. out of a war, if he wins.
Mr. Biden’s Democratic base looks a little more shaky than Trump’s going into next year, too, which isn’t helping him. On those financial measures, Mr. Biden hasn’t fully made the case to his fellow Democrats that he’ll help them financially, or address inequality — certainly not in the way Trump has convinced Republicans.
Looking overseas, Democrats aren’t as sure about Mr. Biden avoiding an overseas war as Republicans are about Trump doing so. And then more directly, Democrats are just less apt to say they’ll vote. Granted, it’s far off, but it does speak to the challenges Mr. Biden has in front of him one year out from Election Day.
Those partisans may be reading the polls, too: Mr. Biden’s backers react to the idea of a rematch by mainly saying they’re nervous and frustrated; Trump’s say they’re hopeful and motivated.
Plus, as ever in American politics, views on race continue to play a role.
Let’s unpack these more — first, the financial factor:
Americans have long described financial setbacks because of inflation and interest rates. Those who feel they’re worse off financially are backing Trump. And this isn’t just punitive toward Mr. Biden — those voters overwhelmingly think they will be financially better off if Trump wins.
And voters continue to believe the wealthy are favored over the middle and working class in America today, and Mr. Biden has not persuaded them this would change during a second term, nor does he have any meaningful advantage over Trump in being seen as helping the middle and working class.”
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The Colonel nails it again.
“A Salute to Senator Tommy Tuberville”
https://townhall.com/columnists/kurtschlichter/2023/11/06/a-salute-to-senator-tommy-tuberville-n2630786
“Just when conservatives seem bereft of heroes, Senator Tommy Tuberville of Alabama comes along. He’s doing something that Washington just hates, taking a principled stand in support of a principled position that’s more than just a mere pose. He’s actually imposing a cost on liberal posturing, and it’s driving not only the Democrats but some establishment Republicans up the wall. We should back his play and help the Coach bring it in for the big win.
Basically, Senator Tuberville simply refuses to play ball. What happened is that Biden’s puppet masters – Biden makes no decisions himself beyond choosing between watching “Matlock” and “Murder, She Wrote” reruns – told its bemedaled lackeys at the Pentagon to start subsidizing abortion tourism. It’s an unlawful expenditure, but it’s really, really important to the administration that every part of the government be all in on killing babies, including the part of the government that should be all in on killing our enemies but is now mostly concerned with talking about white rage, forcing people to take vaccines they don’t need, and facilitating drag queen story hours. Senator Tuberville asked the Pentagon to stop doing this illegal thing. The Pentagon refused. So Senator Tuberville refused to agree to unanimous consent to pass, en masse, senior military promotions.
Understand what Senator Tuberville did and didn’t do because – shocker – the regime media is lying to you. He didn’t stop military promotions. Certain senior military leaders have to be confirmed by the Senate. Chuck Schumer is free to consider each and every military promotion on its own merits before the entire Senate and force the Senate to vote on it on the record. The problem for the Senate is that this takes time, although it’s unclear what else the Senate has been doing lately that is more important. The Senate works on unanimous consent. Most things just sort of happen because no senator objects, and very few things happen on the record. What Senator Tuberville is doing is gumming up the works. He’s making Chuck Schumer actually put these names in front of the body and take a vote. They have done so for several promotions. But this takes a lot of time. Usually, what happens is the Pentagon presents a promotion list, and the Senate approves it, and everybody gets a star or an eagle. I was on the colonel’s list, with my name buried among 1500 or so aspiring full birds, which was lucky for me because if somebody had googled my name, I’m sure some communist senator would have objected.
But that’s kind of the point. Our elected representatives should be able to object to a senior military promotion. Otherwise, why bother having them confirmed by the Senate at all? The norm of mass promotions is a matter of convenience and courtesy, but the Pentagon isn’t being convenient or courteous. It’s violating the law. The Senate said not to do this kind of abortion spending, and the military saluted with its left hand and middle finger. Senator Tuberville, who seems to understand the chain of command better than the guys who live in the chain of command, refuses to tolerate this kind of insubordination, and why should he?
His stand is making the Democrats freak out, and it’s also making a bunch of Republicans freak out. Last week, Mitch McConnell had a couple of senators go on the floor, including military vets like the usually sensible Dan Sullivan and Joni Ernst, screaming at Senator Tuberville because he refuses to cooperate. But Senator Tuberville ignored this bipartisan baloney. He’s not folding, and there’s nothing establishment Republicans hate more than a Republican who shames them for refusing to play his assigned part in the DC kabuki theater of GOP-managed failure.
As this standoff has gone on over the last few months, something else has been clear. Many of the guys they’re putting up as generals and admirals are DEI-loving weirdos. For example, there is one Air Force guy who says that the big problem with our military is white colonels. Well, I was a white colonel, and I kind of find it insulting that my 27 years of service has been reduced to the skin tone I bear that resulted from having ancestors immigrating from Germany and Scotland centuries ago. Sure, I was no war hero like Senator Da Nang Dick Blumenthal, whose name the descendants of the Vietcong use to scare their children, but I kind of think an officer who believes this kind of nonsense should find another line of work. He would probably be more comfortable working at, say, a prestigious university’s DEI department explaining why Jewish students should apologize for existing.
Now, there are good, solid Republicans who mean well and are very upset about it. These are people who love our military and love our troops, and they believe the claim that Senator Tuberville is hurting military readiness. But he is not. He is helping it. As my pal Jesse Kelly, a Marine, correctly observed, holding up these promotions is a terrible idea. We should cashier most of these generals and colonels entirely. It is important to remember that we have not unequivocally won a major war in 30 years. My Republican friends who are concerned about Senator Tuberville’s stubbornness interfering with the bureaucracy’s ability to churn out ever more of these half-steppers make the same mistake Donald Trump made – being impressed by our current senior military leadership. Sadly, our current senior military leadership is largely unimpressive, unaccomplished, and totally unsatisfactory. Patriotism and support for our troops require that we acknowledge this fact and act accordingly.
What is required now is not less scrutiny and supervision of military promotions. It is exponentially more of both. Our current military is a disaster. It is run by incompetents who suck up to our civilian authorities not in the proper way – that is, by following the strategy of elected civilian leaders – but by accepting the tropes and tenets of Democratic culture war obsessions. Nothing has done more damage to our military than buying into wokeness. The military leadership won’t admit it because it is either stupid or lying to you. Still, the simple fact is that the normal Americans who traditionally make up our fighting forces are largely refusing to serve any longer because they understand that the military, as an organization and culture, absolutely hates them. Colonel Hate Whitey is not an anomaly. He is a role model.
The effect on recruiting has been just what you would expect. Vets, who typically inspire the majority of recruits, are disgusted and tell young people to pass on a hitch. Why would you give your life to an organization that holds you in contempt because of where your ancestors came from? Moreover, why would you place your lives in the hands of people who have exhibited the kind of gross incompetence that got 13 Americans slaughtered in Afghanistan in that disgraceful rout? I had the honor of briefly serving as a lawyer for the family of one of the Marines killed, and it’s hard to express the betrayal they justifiably feel. No one has been fired for that fiasco. Moreover, I stood there while a representative of the military either, at worst, outright lied to the families or, at best, gave them information that subsequent public disclosures have contradicted. Disgraceful.
What my Republican friends concerned about the promotions slow-walk need to understand is that it is not affecting military readiness. A brigadier general will do just fine holding a major general’s slot. That extra star just means a few extra bucks. If it’s so dangerous, the Pentagon can resolve it in a second – just stop funding abortion tourism. But it won’t, meaning either that the people behind it are abortion fanatics (plausible), or that this is not really a military readiness issue, no matter how often the Pentagon falsely claims it is. And it is not. What it is is a discipline issue. The Pentagon cannot go on violating the law in the face of the American people’s representatives and be treated as if it is doing nothing wrong.”
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Uhhhhhhh…..
Yeah…. they kinda do. In fact, they make you a man, clearly.
https://twitter.com/4NinetyFour/status/1721898869263622301?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1721898869263622301%7Ctwgr%5E692c7bdac42072ed1b6d5718b3eafa7e28e6e2fb%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitchy.com%2Fbrettt%2F2023%2F11%2F07%2Folympic-athlete-says-her-testicles-dont-make-her-less-of-a-woman-n2389534
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Very interesting, to me, article on the bbc, about Israeli intelligence calling individuals to give them a heads up to evacuate specific buildings prior to bombing. Amazing technology. And compassion.
mumsee
LikeLiked by 3 people
Numbers-crunch
______________________
Voters Want Anyone but Trump or Biden
Neither looks good in the latest polls. Both parties should consider alternatives. — Karl Rove, WSJ opinion
** Neither party’s front-runner will be easily dislodged. But if no changes are made, Americans will get the worst dumpster fire of a campaign in history. It doesn’t have to be this way, and everyone but Messrs. Trump and Biden has good reason to try changing it. The party that picks a fresh face will likely win the White House. **
*****************************
~ As Democrats savor their victories in Tuesday’s Ohio abortion referendum, Kentucky governor’s race and Virginia and New Jersey legislative contests, they might be tempted to ignore the implications of a Nov. 3 New York Times/Siena College poll that shows Donald Trump beating Joe Biden in five of six 2024 battleground states. Mr. Trump lost all six in 2020.
Mr. Trump leads Mr. Biden by 5 points in Arizona, 6 in Georgia, 5 in Michigan, 10 in Nevada and 4 in Pennsylvania. Mr. Biden beats Mr. Trump only in Wisconsin, by 2 points. Among the combined six-state sample of 3,662 registered voters, Mr. Trump leads by four points, 48% to 44%. If the 2024 election plays out this way—adjusting for reapportionment but otherwise assuming other states stay the same—Mr. Trump would flip the White House, winning 302 electoral votes to Mr. Biden’s 236. Last time it was 232 Trump, 306 Biden.
The poll shows a real risk for Mr. Biden from three blocs critical to his 2020 victory and his hopes for a 2024 repeat—young, Latino and black voters. His drop among these groups is driven by poor approval numbers on key issues—especially the economy—and a widespread feeling that he’s too old (71% of respondents agreed) and doesn’t have the “mental sharpness” to be president (62%).
…
There was more dangerous news in the Times/Siena poll for both parties’ front-runners. Though not as well-known as Mr. Biden or Mr. Trump, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley beats Mr. Biden in all six battlegrounds now. In four states, her margins are wider than Mr. Trump’s: She leads Mr. Biden by 7 points in Arizona, 3 in Georgia, 10 in Michigan and Pennsylvania, 6 in Nevada, and 13 in Wisconsin. Among the combined six states, Ms. Haley leads by 8 points (46% to 38%), twice Mr. Trump’s margin.
Mr. Biden may think he can caricature Ms. Haley as “ultra-MAGA,” but the Times/Siena survey shows voters know the difference between the GOP and Mr. Trump. A generic Republican beats Mr. Biden by even bigger margins in every battleground state, leading the Democrat by 14 to 18 points in each one. When all six are combined, the generic GOP candidate’s lead over Mr. Biden is 16 points (52% to 36%), four times Mr. Trump’s.
This suggests Republicans could score a historic victory next year if they run a new face. Apparently voters like what they see as the GOP’s values on the economy, defense, immigration, crime and the national debt. Democratic messaging mavens can try casting a fresh Republican as a Jan. 6 insurrectionist, an election-denying fabulist, a demagogic white supremacist. But voters wouldn’t be responding so positively in polls if they thought “Republican” was synonymous with all that nonsense.
Democrats are right to be scared, but Republicans should be concerned, too. … (T)he GOP leader could sink his own campaign with his constant trashing of his intra-party rivals and their supporters. Turned off, they could fail to turn out or even turn away from the GOP. … ~
___________________
(and simply vote third party)
-dj
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Is there a debate tonight?😀
I am listening to Fish Out of Water by Eric Metaxas and it’s fascinating to hear about how he got into politics at a young age and worked a summer for the mayor of Danbury, Connecticut and encountered so many Democrats back then. I never would have guessed he had that background. He wanted Jesse Jackson for Pres.😳
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There is a debate, Janice — 8 p.m. Eastern time. NBC and cable stations I believe all are carrying it.
-dj
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Are Republicans Tired of All the Losing?
Another lousy Election Day shows the GOP has a brand problem.
By
The Editorial Board (WSJ)
https://www.wsj.com/articles/elections-virginia-kentucky-ohio-abortion-gop-glenn-youngkin-andy-beshear-daniel-cameron-9cf1f979
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Our Republican governor wins again with his extension of removing the gas tax through Thanksgiving!
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