“Black Lives Matter Activist Who Stormed Capitol on Jan. 6 Charged”
“The Black Lives Matter activist who was seen storming the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6 was charged with being on restricted grounds, civil disorder, and violent entry and disorderly conduct, the Department of Justice said Thursday.
A new court filing says John Earle Sullivan, 26, told FBI agents last week that he was at the Capitol when the breach happened. He said he entered through a window that had been broken out. He also said he was present when Ashli Babbitt, an Air Force veteran, was shot dead by a U.S. Capitol Police officer as she tried to climb into the House Speaker’s Lobby through a window.
Sullivan showed agents some of the footage he captured inside the building, which he and others entered illegally.
Videos showed Sullivan and others breaking through a barricade, with the Utah man shouting: “There are so many people. Let’s go. This [Expletive] is ours! [Expletive] yeah. We accomplished this [expletive]. We did this together. [Expletive] yeah! We are all a part of this history. Let’s burn this [Expletive] down.”
He was later heard encouraging protesters to climb a wall to get to an entrance to the Capitol and was seen entering the building.
During one conversation with others while inside, Sullivan said, “We gotta get this [expletive] burned.” At other times, he said, among other things, “it’s our house [expletive]” and “we are getting this [expletive].”
Sullivan told U.S. Capitol Police officers to stand down so that they wouldn’t get hurt, according to the court filing. He joined the crowd trying to open doors to another part of the Capitol, telling people “Hey guys, I have a knife” and asking them to let him get to the front. He did not make it to the doors. He later tried to get the officers guarding the Speaker’s Lobby to go home, telling them: “Bro, I’ve seen people out there get hurt.”
“Sullivan spoke to a slew of media outlets after the breach, including CNN and ABC. He told The Epoch Times that he took steps to blend in with the crowd so he didn’t “get beat up.” He said he’s known in the activist community as being a member of the far-left, anarcho-communist group Antifa. He denied being a member of the network.”
——–
Maybe now the media will stop lying about it, but I doubt it.
Dissent will not be tolerated by the horribly biased media.
There are now upwards of 225 people on the @politico Zoom call convened to hash out the decision to invite @benshapiro to guest-write an edition of Playbook. People are very mad, I am hearing.
“Former star baseball pitcher-turned-conservative firebrand Curt Schilling has accused insurance giant AIG of canceling his policy because of his “social media profile.”
———–
“PLEASE understand that this is and will in no way be a ‘one off’. This is the coming storm, this is the ‘future’ of the nation if we allow Demokkkrats the power they fraudulently came into. At their core, this is exactly who they are. Power and control, then FU.”
Schilling — who tweets under the name “President Elect Curt Schilling” — didn’t pinpoint exactly what he thinks got him in hot water with AIG.
But reports suggested it was a Jan. 6 tweet that followed the deadly storming of the US Capitol by Trump supporters.
“You cowards sat on your hands, did nothing while liberal trash looted rioted and burned for Air Jordan’s and big screens, sit back, stfu, and watch folks start a confrontation for s**t that matters like rights, democracy and the end of gov’t corruption,” Schilling wrote, according to The Blaze.
AIG didn’t immediately return a request for comment.”
Breaking: In sworn affidavit, FBI agent says liberal activist is charged with participating in Capitol riot and urging participants to set place on fire. | Just The News https://t.co/Njp8VTtbo3
For the record, this is what yelling “Fire!” in a theater looks like…..
And this ain’t no Trump supporter, so you folks buying the leftist memes will need a new one now. This one is busted.
“liberal activist is charged with participating in Capitol riot and urging participants to set place on fire.”
———–
Radical BLM activist John E. Sullivan has been arrested over his alleged involvement in the Capitol Hill riots. He's been charged with rioting and criminal mischief. Last summer he was also charged over a BLM Utah riot where a person was shot. https://t.co/kRUanH9lFS
If you side with Democrats and think this is incitement, I’d suggest you buy a dictionary because you clearly don’t know what the word means.
This is the one quote cited in the impeachment article to demonstrate Trump's "incitement" of the mob. It's an unremarkable line that he could've used in about a thousand different contexts over the past five years pic.twitter.com/sKXgCx4UoL
Trump also said in the speech, "I know that everyone here will soon be marching over to the Capitol building to peacefully and patriotically make your voices heard." I've said for months that Trump's fraud theories were garbage, but so is this newly-invented "incitement" doctrine
In order to draw the conclusion he was inciting riots, one would need to hold the absurd position that his figurative speech ("fight like Hell") is literal and his literal speech (walk "peacefully and patriotically") was figurative.
Good stuff this morning, AJ. What’s happening now is just a continuation to what has been happening for the last 4 years. And the sad thing is, so many people prefer peaceable corruption to the discomfort that comes with housecleaning. As a result, we’re on track for continued government corruption, though something tells me the protesting and violence is not going away.
I’m not much of a poll watcher as I don’t really trust them. But this on is from Just the News. I found it after I first posted. It does confirm what I thought. Maybe I have a little confirmation bias going on here, but I don’t think so as I would be glad to be wrong.
BREAKING: The FBI has arrested #BlackLivesMatter self-described anti-fascist John Sullivan for leading the charge during the insurrection at the Capitol. Sullivan goaded the first casualty of the event to climb through a window just before she was killed.https://t.co/RSdcR2GOVNpic.twitter.com/Hq1PxJhAQV
The post below come with a CONTENT WARNING!!!!!! for language.
I know the curse words are bad, but this needs to be seen, so I’m posting it. This was a left wing false flag operation from the start.
3/ "…we about to go get that mother fucker, it is time for a revolution."
Shortly afterward Sullivan could be heard goading Ashli Babbitt to jump through a window as he filmed her being shot and killed by law enforcement. pic.twitter.com/4c6WkADvJW
5/ Despite Sullivan's claims to the contrary the video footage he provided to the FBI showed that he was clearly inciting the protesters exclaiming, "Let's go! This shit is ours! Fuck yeah! We accomplished this shit! We did this together! Fuck yeah! Let's burn this shit down! pic.twitter.com/58fmUu8mTG
The post below come with a CONTENT WARNING!!!!!! for language.
I know the curse words are bad, but this needs to be seen, so I’m posting it. This was a left wing false flag operation from the start.
7/ Once inside the Capitol, according to the FBI, Sullivan could be heard encouraging the protesters suggesting, "We gotta get this shit burned! It’s our house motherfuckers! We are getting this shit.” pic.twitter.com/Fm6XVWyqgy
9/ At another point Sullivan breaks into a congressional office and states, “We did this shit. We took this shit.” and then proceed to break a window and later apologizing for breaking it but suggesting that it was okay because no one caught it on camera. pic.twitter.com/AMsWLWmMBD
The post below come with a CONTENT WARNING!!!!!! for language.
I know the curse words are bad, but this needs to be seen, so I’m posting it. This was a left wing false flag operation from the start.
11/ Over and over Sullivan encouraged protesters to break into new areas of the building and attack officers. Saying things like, "Why don't we go in there? That's what I'm saying, break that shit. It would fire if someone had revolutionary music and shit." pic.twitter.com/XwRQZf8B22
Like I said, the Lincoln Project grifters hate it when you air their dirty laundry. 🙂
👀👀👀👀👀👀👀
Wow, @projectlincoln has quietly deleted @jwgop from their website after Laura Ingraham reported on allegations against Weaver involving dozens of young men
Nothing new under the sun; some apropos words from James Madison in the Federalist Papers about the dilemmas that face us today (kudos to Veith for posting the excerpt and link yesterday):
~ The latent causes of faction are thus sown in the nature of man; and we see them everywhere brought into different degrees of activity, according to the different circumstances of civil society. A zeal for different opinions concerning religion, concerning government, and many other points, as well of speculation as of practice; an attachment to different leaders ambitiously contending for pre-eminence and power; or to persons of other descriptions whose fortunes have been interesting to the human passions, have, in turn, divided mankind into parties, inflamed them with mutual animosity, and rendered them much more disposed to vex and oppress each other than to co-operate for their common good. . . .The regulation of these various and interfering interests forms the principal task of modern legislation, and involves the spirit of party and faction in the necessary and ordinary operations of the government. . . .
___________________________________
US troops in Afghanistan and Iraq don’t have this option, even when being fired upon by actual terrorists, but yet they’re being told it’s OK to shoot your fellow countrymen.
“National Guard at Capitol Authorized to Use Lethal Force in Aftermath of Mob”
“THE 20,000 NATIONAL Guard troops preparing for pro-Trump demonstrations this weekend in the nation’s capital will be armed and permitted to use lethal force, the headquarters overseeing them says, marking a striking escalation in the way authorities there are preparing for repeat violence after last week’s deadly mob.
“On January 12, 2021, National Guardsmen were given authorization to be armed in support of the U.S. Capitol Police to protect the U.S. Capitol and individual members of Congress and their staff,” according to a statement from the D.C. National Guard, which is commanding Guard forces in the city, including units deployed from six other states, to provide security for President-elect Joe Biden’s inauguration next week.
A defense official confirmed the authorization includes permission for Guard troops to use lethal force.”
———-
Where were these rules when Dem constituents rioted and burned federal buildings across the US with impunity for a year?
“IT BEGINS: Trump to Declassify ‘Foot-High Stack’ of Obamagate Documents”
“With less than a week left in office, President Trump is declassifying a “massive trove” of FBI documents relating to Obamagate, including FBI documents “showing the Russia collusion story was leaked in the final weeks of the 2016 election in an effort to counteract Hillary Clinton’s email scandal,” reports Just The News”
“New Study: Lockdowns Didn’t Stop The Spread Of COVID-19 After All”
“As always, approach all stories that headline the word “study” with some caution. Newsweek’s report on a new study from Stanford published this week in the European Journal of Clinical Investigation should carry the same caveat — one study does not a scientific foundation make. However, the findings in this study of the impact of lockdowns on COVID-19 transmission do seem to fit our own observations, especially in the pandemic’s second and third waves:
The most restrictive non‐pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) for controlling the spread of COVID‐19 are mandatory stay‐at‐home and business closures. Given the consequences of these policies, it is important to assess their effects. We evaluate the effects on epidemic case growth of more restrictive NPIs (mrNPIs), above and beyond those of less restrictive NPIs (lrNPIs).
We first estimate COVID‐19 case growth in relation to any NPI implementation in subnational regions of 10 countries: England, France, Germany, Iran, Italy, Netherlands, Spain, South Korea, Sweden, and the US. Using first‐difference models with fixed effects, we isolate the effects of mrNPIs by subtracting the combined effects of lrNPIs and epidemic dynamics from all NPIs. We use case growth in Sweden and South Korea, two countries that did not implement mandatory stay‐at‐home and business closures, as comparison countries for the other 8 countries (16 total comparisons).
Implementing any NPIs was associated with significant reductions in case growth in 9 out of 10 study countries, including South Korea and Sweden that implemented only lrNPIs (Spain had a non‐significant effect). After subtracting the epidemic and lrNPI effects, we find no clear, significant beneficial effect of mrNPIs on case growth in any country. In France, e.g., the effect of mrNPIs was +7% (95CI ‐5%‐19%) when compared with Sweden, and +13% (‐12%‐38%) when compared with South Korea (positive means pro‐contagion). The 95% confidence intervals excluded 30% declines in all 16 comparisons and 15% declines in 11/16 comparisons.
In other words, despite the wide variance in types of social interventions, the harsher lockdowns provided no significant improvement in reducing community transmission than did the softer interventions did — social distancing, mask-wearing, and perhaps capacity restrictions. Their conclusion — the cost/benefit ratio for harsh interventions doesn’t justify them:
While small benefits cannot be excluded, we do not find significant benefits on case growth of more restrictive NPIs. Similar reductions in case growth may be achievable with less restrictive interventions.”
Good on President Trump…let them deal with it!! Not certain the exposure will wake up any of the “woke” numbskulls but at least it’s going to be out there! 😊
Totalitarianism (according to George Orwell): “A society living by and for continuing warfare in which the ruling caste have ceased to have any real function, but succeed in clinging to power through force and fraud.”
Pennsylvania Lt. Gov. John Fetterman: "This idea that saying that Pennsylvania was 'rigged' or that we were 'trying to steal the election' — that's a lie. And you do not have the right, that is not protected speech." pic.twitter.com/2f2ERSSLXy
So the right side of the internet has found their black man. The FBI have arrested nearly 200 people so far and will be close to 300 by the end of today. But apparently its the one twenty something black guy who somehow casued 100s of middle aged white men to storm the capital, vandalize the building and search for reps and votes. Apparently, after a minute or so of yelling the black man convinced an armed forces veteran with a history of violence to break down a door and get shot. This will absolve both the cop and the women because obviously its the black man’s fault. And this black guy must have super powers as somehow he incited a middle aged white Trump supporter to throw a fire extinguisher at a policeman and incite crowds to pummel police with a flag poles and in one case led the crowd in chatting “Kill the cop with his own gun”.
Okay enough of the sarcasm — obviously one black guy does not absolve hundreds of Trump supporters of their crimes. But its apparent that some on the right want to avoid responsibility and use a black guy a scapegoat.
Qualified Immunity has given police (and national guard) more freedom in the use of force in the United States than the rules of engagement for the US armed forces abroad. This is a point BLM was trying to make last summer.
Lockdowns and mask mandate do work when the outbreak is in the general populaiton. If a viral infection is mostly restricted to “congregate settings” — prisons, long term care homes, hospitals, armed forces barracks, etc lockdowns are not necessary. Currently, my premier has tightened our lockdown regulations despite the fact Covid is mostly confinded in for profit LTCs . However the LTCs have close connections with the conservative party and thus the rest of us have to deal with overregulation to avoid our conservative premier regulating the corporate LTCs.
From what I understand, covid in the US is beyond the congregate setttings and is in the general population hence a lockdown may be necessary. My other observation is the US seems to have given up and has taken a fatalistic approach to covid as they’ve tired of the news concering disease. This combined with a general reticent to listening to the government has made the US approach ad hoc and not very successful. I also came across a news article saying the vacine surplus or backup didn’t exists — the Trump admin just made up the numbers.
Tychicus — I’m always amused when people of a right wing persussion quote Orwell or use the term Orwellian. George Orwell was a socialist who fought in the Spanish Civil War on the anarchist side. His no nonsense leftist approach to politcal thought and action is something I’ve always greatly admired. His quotes on totalitarianism, especially in 1984, are mostly a criticism of the British aristocracy and fascism. Animal Farm is of course an allegory of the Russian Revolution but in particular its a critique of Stalin — however Orwell voted Labour his entire life. If people really want to understand Orwell they should read “Homage to Catalonia” his report on fighting in the Spanish Civil War in Barcelona. His Road to Wigan Pier also makes his political sympathies explicitly clear.
Wandering Views 
Censorship Jack admits it’s been all about restricting speech he disagrees with. Trump is just the excuse the cowards are using.
LikeLiked by 1 person
But, but, but…..
I’ve been told repeatedly that it wasn’t Antifa or BLM thugs at the WH, yet here we are….
Arrested and charged.
https://www.theepochtimes.com/black-lives-matter-activist-who-stormed-capitol-on-jan-6-arrested-charged_3657333.html?utm_source=newsnoe&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=breaking-2021-01-14-4
“Black Lives Matter Activist Who Stormed Capitol on Jan. 6 Charged”
“The Black Lives Matter activist who was seen storming the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6 was charged with being on restricted grounds, civil disorder, and violent entry and disorderly conduct, the Department of Justice said Thursday.
A new court filing says John Earle Sullivan, 26, told FBI agents last week that he was at the Capitol when the breach happened. He said he entered through a window that had been broken out. He also said he was present when Ashli Babbitt, an Air Force veteran, was shot dead by a U.S. Capitol Police officer as she tried to climb into the House Speaker’s Lobby through a window.
Sullivan showed agents some of the footage he captured inside the building, which he and others entered illegally.
Videos showed Sullivan and others breaking through a barricade, with the Utah man shouting: “There are so many people. Let’s go. This [Expletive] is ours! [Expletive] yeah. We accomplished this [expletive]. We did this together. [Expletive] yeah! We are all a part of this history. Let’s burn this [Expletive] down.”
He was later heard encouraging protesters to climb a wall to get to an entrance to the Capitol and was seen entering the building.
During one conversation with others while inside, Sullivan said, “We gotta get this [expletive] burned.” At other times, he said, among other things, “it’s our house [expletive]” and “we are getting this [expletive].”
Sullivan told U.S. Capitol Police officers to stand down so that they wouldn’t get hurt, according to the court filing. He joined the crowd trying to open doors to another part of the Capitol, telling people “Hey guys, I have a knife” and asking them to let him get to the front. He did not make it to the doors. He later tried to get the officers guarding the Speaker’s Lobby to go home, telling them: “Bro, I’ve seen people out there get hurt.”
“Sullivan spoke to a slew of media outlets after the breach, including CNN and ABC. He told The Epoch Times that he took steps to blend in with the crowd so he didn’t “get beat up.” He said he’s known in the activist community as being a member of the far-left, anarcho-communist group Antifa. He denied being a member of the network.”
——–
Maybe now the media will stop lying about it, but I doubt it.
LikeLiked by 2 people
Dissent will not be tolerated by the horribly biased media.
——–
LikeLiked by 1 person
Un-American.
https://nypost.com/2021/01/14/curt-schilling-says-aig-canceled-insurance-over-social-media-posts/?utm_source=NYPTwitter&utm_medium=SocialFlow&utm_campaign=SocialFlow
“Former star baseball pitcher-turned-conservative firebrand Curt Schilling has accused insurance giant AIG of canceling his policy because of his “social media profile.”
———–
“PLEASE understand that this is and will in no way be a ‘one off’. This is the coming storm, this is the ‘future’ of the nation if we allow Demokkkrats the power they fraudulently came into. At their core, this is exactly who they are. Power and control, then FU.”
Schilling — who tweets under the name “President Elect Curt Schilling” — didn’t pinpoint exactly what he thinks got him in hot water with AIG.
But reports suggested it was a Jan. 6 tweet that followed the deadly storming of the US Capitol by Trump supporters.
“You cowards sat on your hands, did nothing while liberal trash looted rioted and burned for Air Jordan’s and big screens, sit back, stfu, and watch folks start a confrontation for s**t that matters like rights, democracy and the end of gov’t corruption,” Schilling wrote, according to The Blaze.
AIG didn’t immediately return a request for comment.”
LikeLiked by 2 people
Idiot.
LikeLiked by 1 person
Turnabout….
LikeLiked by 1 person
That sounds racist.
———-
https://legalinsurrection.com/2021/01/supermarket-chain-adding-black-owned-tags-to-products-offered-by-minority-owned-businesses/
“Supermarket Chain Adding ‘Black-Owned’ Tags to Products Offered by Minority Owned Businesses
“stepping up to champion diversity by updating shelf labels to help customers identify goods from minority-owned businesses””
————
Stop laughing, they’re serious.
LikeLiked by 2 people
Uncensored – Big Tech vs. Free Speech (a conversation with a Jewish Liberal Democrat):
LikeLike
Nope, no BLM and Anifa thugs here….
———
For the record, this is what yelling “Fire!” in a theater looks like…..
And this ain’t no Trump supporter, so you folks buying the leftist memes will need a new one now. This one is busted.
“liberal activist is charged with participating in Capitol riot and urging participants to set place on fire.”
———–
LikeLiked by 2 people
———
https://twitter.com/seanmdav/status/1349898507235323905
I’m sure the lefties will be along with a “fact check” telling you your eyes are lying to you again.
LikeLiked by 2 people
Hack.
——-
LikeLiked by 2 people
If you side with Democrats and think this is incitement, I’d suggest you buy a dictionary because you clearly don’t know what the word means.
———-
LikeLiked by 2 people
———
LikeLiked by 1 person
Good stuff this morning, AJ. What’s happening now is just a continuation to what has been happening for the last 4 years. And the sad thing is, so many people prefer peaceable corruption to the discomfort that comes with housecleaning. As a result, we’re on track for continued government corruption, though something tells me the protesting and violence is not going away.
LikeLiked by 3 people
I’m not much of a poll watcher as I don’t really trust them. But this on is from Just the News. I found it after I first posted. It does confirm what I thought. Maybe I have a little confirmation bias going on here, but I don’t think so as I would be glad to be wrong.
https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/polling/poll-strong-majority-gop-voters-see-themselves-republicans-instead-maga
LikeLike
About the BLM/Antifa activist…..
LikeLiked by 1 person
The post below come with a CONTENT WARNING!!!!!! for language.
I know the curse words are bad, but this needs to be seen, so I’m posting it. This was a left wing false flag operation from the start.
———–
LikeLiked by 1 person
The post below come with a CONTENT WARNING!!!!!! for language.
I know the curse words are bad, but this needs to be seen, so I’m posting it. This was a left wing false flag operation from the start.
——–
LikeLiked by 1 person
The post below come with a CONTENT WARNING!!!!!! for language.
I know the curse words are bad, but this needs to be seen, so I’m posting it. This was a left wing false flag operation from the start.
———–
LikeLiked by 1 person
Like I said, the Lincoln Project grifters hate it when you air their dirty laundry. 🙂
——–
https://twitter.com/daggerdigit/status/1349864034447863808
LikeLike
Oh look, now that Trump is on his way out, so are the stupid, unjust directives of partisan Dems seeking to use it for political gain.
Frauds.
———
LikeLiked by 1 person
———
LikeLike
Nothing new under the sun; some apropos words from James Madison in the Federalist Papers about the dilemmas that face us today (kudos to Veith for posting the excerpt and link yesterday):
https://www.billofrightsinstitute.org/primary-sources/federalist-no-10
____________________________________
~ The latent causes of faction are thus sown in the nature of man; and we see them everywhere brought into different degrees of activity, according to the different circumstances of civil society. A zeal for different opinions concerning religion, concerning government, and many other points, as well of speculation as of practice; an attachment to different leaders ambitiously contending for pre-eminence and power; or to persons of other descriptions whose fortunes have been interesting to the human passions, have, in turn, divided mankind into parties, inflamed them with mutual animosity, and rendered them much more disposed to vex and oppress each other than to co-operate for their common good. . . .The regulation of these various and interfering interests forms the principal task of modern legislation, and involves the spirit of party and faction in the necessary and ordinary operations of the government. . . .
___________________________________
LikeLiked by 1 person
So let’s be clear here.
US troops in Afghanistan and Iraq don’t have this option, even when being fired upon by actual terrorists, but yet they’re being told it’s OK to shoot your fellow countrymen.
Whose escalating things now?
Remember this if the shooting starts.
https://www.usnews.com/news/national-news/articles/2021-01-14/national-guard-at-capitol-authorized-to-use-lethal-force-in-aftermath-of-mob
“National Guard at Capitol Authorized to Use Lethal Force in Aftermath of Mob”
“THE 20,000 NATIONAL Guard troops preparing for pro-Trump demonstrations this weekend in the nation’s capital will be armed and permitted to use lethal force, the headquarters overseeing them says, marking a striking escalation in the way authorities there are preparing for repeat violence after last week’s deadly mob.
“On January 12, 2021, National Guardsmen were given authorization to be armed in support of the U.S. Capitol Police to protect the U.S. Capitol and individual members of Congress and their staff,” according to a statement from the D.C. National Guard, which is commanding Guard forces in the city, including units deployed from six other states, to provide security for President-elect Joe Biden’s inauguration next week.
A defense official confirmed the authorization includes permission for Guard troops to use lethal force.”
———-
Where were these rules when Dem constituents rioted and burned federal buildings across the US with impunity for a year?
LikeLike
Good. Get busy.
https://pjmedia.com/news-and-politics/matt-margolis/2021/01/15/it-begins-trump-to-declassify-foot-high-stack-of-obamagate-documents-n1387318
“IT BEGINS: Trump to Declassify ‘Foot-High Stack’ of Obamagate Documents”
“With less than a week left in office, President Trump is declassifying a “massive trove” of FBI documents relating to Obamagate, including FBI documents “showing the Russia collusion story was leaked in the final weeks of the 2016 election in an effort to counteract Hillary Clinton’s email scandal,” reports Just The News”
——–
LikeLiked by 1 person
Now they admit it.
But anyone who said so in the beginning was being anti-Science, right Senile Joe?
https://hotair.com/archives/ed-morrissey/2021/01/15/new-study-lockdowns-didnt-stop-spread-covid-19/
“New Study: Lockdowns Didn’t Stop The Spread Of COVID-19 After All”
“As always, approach all stories that headline the word “study” with some caution. Newsweek’s report on a new study from Stanford published this week in the European Journal of Clinical Investigation should carry the same caveat — one study does not a scientific foundation make. However, the findings in this study of the impact of lockdowns on COVID-19 transmission do seem to fit our own observations, especially in the pandemic’s second and third waves:
The most restrictive non‐pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) for controlling the spread of COVID‐19 are mandatory stay‐at‐home and business closures. Given the consequences of these policies, it is important to assess their effects. We evaluate the effects on epidemic case growth of more restrictive NPIs (mrNPIs), above and beyond those of less restrictive NPIs (lrNPIs).
We first estimate COVID‐19 case growth in relation to any NPI implementation in subnational regions of 10 countries: England, France, Germany, Iran, Italy, Netherlands, Spain, South Korea, Sweden, and the US. Using first‐difference models with fixed effects, we isolate the effects of mrNPIs by subtracting the combined effects of lrNPIs and epidemic dynamics from all NPIs. We use case growth in Sweden and South Korea, two countries that did not implement mandatory stay‐at‐home and business closures, as comparison countries for the other 8 countries (16 total comparisons).
Implementing any NPIs was associated with significant reductions in case growth in 9 out of 10 study countries, including South Korea and Sweden that implemented only lrNPIs (Spain had a non‐significant effect). After subtracting the epidemic and lrNPI effects, we find no clear, significant beneficial effect of mrNPIs on case growth in any country. In France, e.g., the effect of mrNPIs was +7% (95CI ‐5%‐19%) when compared with Sweden, and +13% (‐12%‐38%) when compared with South Korea (positive means pro‐contagion). The 95% confidence intervals excluded 30% declines in all 16 comparisons and 15% declines in 11/16 comparisons.
In other words, despite the wide variance in types of social interventions, the harsher lockdowns provided no significant improvement in reducing community transmission than did the softer interventions did — social distancing, mask-wearing, and perhaps capacity restrictions. Their conclusion — the cost/benefit ratio for harsh interventions doesn’t justify them:
While small benefits cannot be excluded, we do not find significant benefits on case growth of more restrictive NPIs. Similar reductions in case growth may be achievable with less restrictive interventions.”
LikeLike
Good on President Trump…let them deal with it!! Not certain the exposure will wake up any of the “woke” numbskulls but at least it’s going to be out there! 😊
LikeLiked by 1 person
Totalitarianism (according to George Orwell): “A society living by and for continuing warfare in which the ruling caste have ceased to have any real function, but succeed in clinging to power through force and fraud.”
Do you see the signs of totalitarianism today?
LikeLiked by 1 person
Joni… with inspiration!
LikeLiked by 1 person
The goal shifts, as you knew it would. The media and Dems are so predictable.
———
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Educating the ignorant.
————
It’s not a lie, but even if it was…..
https://twitter.com/SharylAttkisson/status/1350178420047667207
LikeLike
———-
I’m surrounded by idiots, that’s how.
LikeLike
Ah yes…..
Now that a Dem is soon to be in the WH again, The Dems over at NPR are back with some hard hitting journalism again.
——–
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Hack journalism professors leads to hack journalism majors.
———
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So the right side of the internet has found their black man. The FBI have arrested nearly 200 people so far and will be close to 300 by the end of today. But apparently its the one twenty something black guy who somehow casued 100s of middle aged white men to storm the capital, vandalize the building and search for reps and votes. Apparently, after a minute or so of yelling the black man convinced an armed forces veteran with a history of violence to break down a door and get shot. This will absolve both the cop and the women because obviously its the black man’s fault. And this black guy must have super powers as somehow he incited a middle aged white Trump supporter to throw a fire extinguisher at a policeman and incite crowds to pummel police with a flag poles and in one case led the crowd in chatting “Kill the cop with his own gun”.
Okay enough of the sarcasm — obviously one black guy does not absolve hundreds of Trump supporters of their crimes. But its apparent that some on the right want to avoid responsibility and use a black guy a scapegoat.
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AJ
Qualified Immunity has given police (and national guard) more freedom in the use of force in the United States than the rules of engagement for the US armed forces abroad. This is a point BLM was trying to make last summer.
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Lockdowns and mask mandate do work when the outbreak is in the general populaiton. If a viral infection is mostly restricted to “congregate settings” — prisons, long term care homes, hospitals, armed forces barracks, etc lockdowns are not necessary. Currently, my premier has tightened our lockdown regulations despite the fact Covid is mostly confinded in for profit LTCs . However the LTCs have close connections with the conservative party and thus the rest of us have to deal with overregulation to avoid our conservative premier regulating the corporate LTCs.
From what I understand, covid in the US is beyond the congregate setttings and is in the general population hence a lockdown may be necessary. My other observation is the US seems to have given up and has taken a fatalistic approach to covid as they’ve tired of the news concering disease. This combined with a general reticent to listening to the government has made the US approach ad hoc and not very successful. I also came across a news article saying the vacine surplus or backup didn’t exists — the Trump admin just made up the numbers.
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Tychicus — I’m always amused when people of a right wing persussion quote Orwell or use the term Orwellian. George Orwell was a socialist who fought in the Spanish Civil War on the anarchist side. His no nonsense leftist approach to politcal thought and action is something I’ve always greatly admired. His quotes on totalitarianism, especially in 1984, are mostly a criticism of the British aristocracy and fascism. Animal Farm is of course an allegory of the Russian Revolution but in particular its a critique of Stalin — however Orwell voted Labour his entire life. If people really want to understand Orwell they should read “Homage to Catalonia” his report on fighting in the Spanish Civil War in Barcelona. His Road to Wigan Pier also makes his political sympathies explicitly clear.
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Chemical warfare? Are they crazy? Never mind. Silly question.
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But how close is right-wing and left-wing totalitarianism? Birds of a feather
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hwesseli: Leftists occasionally speak truth as well, and can be quoted freely.
I completely reject your racism, and race-baiting.
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