I saw that clip, pretty funny. I remember when we covered Trump a year ago (when I famously predicted he’d already ‘peaked’), a few of the reporters who were following him on the campaign trail said touching his hair was the big thing to do on the press plane when he was around (and Trump would allow it).
Election Update: Democrats Should Panic … If The Polls Still Look Like This In A Week
_____________________________
Hillary Clinton’s lead in the polls has been declining for several weeks, and now we’re at the point where it’s not much of a lead at all. National polls show Clinton only 1 or 2 percentage points ahead of Donald Trump, on average. And the state polling situation isn’t really any better for her. On Thursday alone, polls were released showing Clinton behind in Ohio, Iowa and Colorado — and with narrow, 3-point leads in Michigan and Virginia, two states once thought to be relatively safe for her.
It’s also become clearer that Clinton’s “bad weekend” — which included describing half of Trump supporters as a “basket of deplorables” on Friday, and a health scare (followed by news that she had been diagnosed with pneumonia) on Sunday — has affected the polls. Prior to the weekend, Clinton’s decline had appeared to be leveling off, with the race settling into a Clinton lead of 3 or 4 percentage points. But over the past seven days, Clinton’s win probability has declined from 70 percent to 60 percent in our polls-only forecast and by a similar amount, from 68 percent to 59 percent, in our polls-plus forecast. …
….. All of this is tricky, though, because we still don’t have a great sense for where the long-term equilibrium of the race is, or even whether there’s an equilibrium at all — and we probably never will because of the unusual nature of Trump’s candidacy. Perhaps Trump isn’t that different from a “generic Republican” after all. Or perhaps (more plausibly in my view) he is a very poor candidate who costs the Republicans substantially, but that Clinton is nearly as bad a candidate and mostly offsets this effect. Still, I’d advise waiting a week or so to see whether Clinton’s current dip in the polls sticks as the news moves on from her “bad weekend” to other subjects.
_______________________________
Hello to 2016! We have no DirectTV or golf here and the Yankees are still a problem. However, I am confident that anyone wearing a dress is a woman and I have seen no sign of Hillary or Trump.
“Ford announced today it will be hitting the road, taking its small-car production across the border to Mexico.
So, this had FOXBusiness.com thinking – what other companies have jumped ship, relocating their operations outside of the U.S.? The North American Free Trade Agreement, once thought to be a saving grace for the economy, instead offers access to cheaper labor elsewhere. Combine this with the U.S. corporate tax rate, one of the highest in the world, and you’ve got plenty of incentive for companies to abandon their U.S. bases.
So which other companies have joined the ranks of Ford and moved production out of the U.S.? Here are 5 big businesses taking their jobs elsewhere.”
And I just bought a package of double stuffed, my favorite, and was so looking forward to eating some of them. Now they just taunt me from the kitchen. I don’t even want to eat them now. 😦
Don’t get me wrong, I will eat them, but I assure you I’ll have little pleasure in doing so. Milk will never be the same either, without Oreos to dunk. They’ve wrecked it now, between govt overburdening and taxing, and company greed for cheap labor. It was bound to happen I guess. I’ll choke down this package, but then I’m done I’ll buy them no more.
And I would just like to let all those responsible know, that they suck.
What a surprise! Unionized plants in the North (those Chicago Oreo jobs were union jobs) are not competive. Carmakers are also closing unionized Northern plants. Why is it that carmakers from all over the world are able to profitably operate Southern nonunion plants? Yankees say that others inhale with gusto. Yankees believe the con man Trump will solve their problems. Can you understand why Texans prefer their immigrants to be hard-working people from South of the Rio Grande?
The last paragraph makes the point: It is time for Americans to stop blaming Bush or Obama for their problems. You could add the Chinese, Mexicans, corporations and even Yankees to that list. There are times we need to look in the mirror and take responsibility. Personally, I am much better situated than I deserve to be. Eight years of Hillary or Trump isn’t going to change that.
Wandering Views 
Not a word about politics today?
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Interesting post at power line suggesting Trump may be headed for a definitive win, both in popular vote and electoral college
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Huffington Post is having a conniption because Jimmy Fallon “humanize” Trump by messing up his hair.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/jimmy-fallon-donald-trump_us_57dbecd4e4b0071a6e06801e?section=&
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I saw that clip, pretty funny. I remember when we covered Trump a year ago (when I famously predicted he’d already ‘peaked’), a few of the reporters who were following him on the campaign trail said touching his hair was the big thing to do on the press plane when he was around (and Trump would allow it).
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http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-democrats-should-panic-if-the-polls-still-look-like-this-in-a-week/
Election Update: Democrats Should Panic … If The Polls Still Look Like This In A Week
_____________________________
Hillary Clinton’s lead in the polls has been declining for several weeks, and now we’re at the point where it’s not much of a lead at all. National polls show Clinton only 1 or 2 percentage points ahead of Donald Trump, on average. And the state polling situation isn’t really any better for her. On Thursday alone, polls were released showing Clinton behind in Ohio, Iowa and Colorado — and with narrow, 3-point leads in Michigan and Virginia, two states once thought to be relatively safe for her.
It’s also become clearer that Clinton’s “bad weekend” — which included describing half of Trump supporters as a “basket of deplorables” on Friday, and a health scare (followed by news that she had been diagnosed with pneumonia) on Sunday — has affected the polls. Prior to the weekend, Clinton’s decline had appeared to be leveling off, with the race settling into a Clinton lead of 3 or 4 percentage points. But over the past seven days, Clinton’s win probability has declined from 70 percent to 60 percent in our polls-only forecast and by a similar amount, from 68 percent to 59 percent, in our polls-plus forecast. …
….. All of this is tricky, though, because we still don’t have a great sense for where the long-term equilibrium of the race is, or even whether there’s an equilibrium at all — and we probably never will because of the unusual nature of Trump’s candidacy. Perhaps Trump isn’t that different from a “generic Republican” after all. Or perhaps (more plausibly in my view) he is a very poor candidate who costs the Republicans substantially, but that Clinton is nearly as bad a candidate and mostly offsets this effect. Still, I’d advise waiting a week or so to see whether Clinton’s current dip in the polls sticks as the news moves on from her “bad weekend” to other subjects.
_______________________________
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Hello to 2016! We have no DirectTV or golf here and the Yankees are still a problem. However, I am confident that anyone wearing a dress is a woman and I have seen no sign of Hillary or Trump.
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Nice horse
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I am able to get the football scores. A people that will nominate Hillary and Trump will also habitually drop the ball on the one yard line.
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Et tu Oreo’s?
That makes me sad. 😦
I feel betrayed, as if my decades of brand loyalty and refusal to settle for generic options meant nothing to you. How could you Nabisco? 😦
http://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/2016/09/14/companies-saying-goodbye-to-u-s.html
“Ford announced today it will be hitting the road, taking its small-car production across the border to Mexico.
So, this had FOXBusiness.com thinking – what other companies have jumped ship, relocating their operations outside of the U.S.? The North American Free Trade Agreement, once thought to be a saving grace for the economy, instead offers access to cheaper labor elsewhere. Combine this with the U.S. corporate tax rate, one of the highest in the world, and you’ve got plenty of incentive for companies to abandon their U.S. bases.
So which other companies have joined the ranks of Ford and moved production out of the U.S.? Here are 5 big businesses taking their jobs elsewhere.”
LikeLike
And I just bought a package of double stuffed, my favorite, and was so looking forward to eating some of them. Now they just taunt me from the kitchen. I don’t even want to eat them now. 😦
Don’t get me wrong, I will eat them, but I assure you I’ll have little pleasure in doing so. Milk will never be the same either, without Oreos to dunk. They’ve wrecked it now, between govt overburdening and taxing, and company greed for cheap labor. It was bound to happen I guess. I’ll choke down this package, but then I’m done I’ll buy them no more.
And I would just like to let all those responsible know, that they suck.
LikeLike
What a surprise! Unionized plants in the North (those Chicago Oreo jobs were union jobs) are not competive. Carmakers are also closing unionized Northern plants. Why is it that carmakers from all over the world are able to profitably operate Southern nonunion plants? Yankees say that others inhale with gusto. Yankees believe the con man Trump will solve their problems. Can you understand why Texans prefer their immigrants to be hard-working people from South of the Rio Grande?
LikeLike
My son sent me this fine review of Hillbilly Elegy.
The last paragraph makes the point: It is time for Americans to stop blaming Bush or Obama for their problems. You could add the Chinese, Mexicans, corporations and even Yankees to that list. There are times we need to look in the mirror and take responsibility. Personally, I am much better situated than I deserve to be. Eight years of Hillary or Trump isn’t going to change that.
LikeLike